Posted August 18th, 2010
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Starts us from March to write several reports to mention that Japan is similar with us, but Japan is also different with us. Japan was the late 80s presented the massive trade surplus, the foreign exchange reserve, 85 year square agreement forced the Western principal currency, including a Japanese Yen revaluation. After Japanese Yen revaluation, when is Japan’s question appears 88 years are Japan trade surplus greatest one year, are also foreign exchange reserve greatest one year, but Japan’s question is 91 year, 92 year that time global crisis appears. China looks like now to this crisis basically is the short-term not too major problem, but five years later can we have the question Said the sentence old truth practices the economy the human, will not measure two year beside generally the matter. Where therefore is the long-term crisis at We lack self-confidence at heart.
Compares with Japan, Japan in the late 80s is the whole world second, the total quantity is also good, average per person GDP is the very high level. We now according to GDP we are also the very high levels, but average per person GDP, moreover our whole world second child, if has three legs, some leg is a foreign capital, if casts aside this leg, depending on us state-owned, privately operated and domestic domestic capital enterprise, we say from the total quantity are already not the trade powerful nations, is also not the GDP powerful nation, must see this point.
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Posted August 18th, 2010
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Our structure is not too also same as Japan, Japanese and the South Korean foreign capital accounts for the great proportion Very small. The development space has the melt risk opportunity to us, but our long-term risk, if appeared, I thought that must be longer than the Japanese meeting. (11: 50)(and news finance and economics original) own manuscript statementEvery indication and the news network work of the origin (writing, picture, graph), not after with the news network authorization, any media and individual do not completely or the part reprint.
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Posted August 18th, 2010
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Dubai’s lesson is a real estate froth history, this has sounded the caution to our country’s many countries. The professional pointed out that Dubai debt crisis by Dubai world development ultra-large type real estate project, after the house price falls largely the fund chain break causes. Around the crisis, the locality more than 400 engineering projects are compelled to cancel at least, involve the fund to surpass 300,000,000,000 US dollars, the Dubai frantic expansion real estate froth are disillusioned finally.
Dubai Wenzhou chairman of the chamber of commerce Chen Zhiyuan said that Dubai’s real estate market with the Chinese similar time start, rises did not have the home to be quick, by the Dubai free port’s status, the petroleum country’s fund and at that time the world hot money pursued holds the degree, who hadn’t thought that the house price only then arrived at each square meter 230,000 Yuan to break down. Guo Degang the right and wrong mutual hatred history is very much big the bottom (group chart) The medical department pays attention to the baby early puberty The asset management company collaborates the place to make PE The petroleum 600,000,000,000 projects seek the privately operated partner Beijing sum total subsidy Public hospital loss The Federal Reserve discusses the rest difficult word withdrawal on Tuesday Associates over 1,000,000,000 buys stock the divine land to rent a car micro abundant the minority rich person grain bin room does not have the influence to the poor person The Zhejiang University river ten thousand age international economies and financial investment Research center Assistant Director Jing Naiquan tells “Economical Reference Newspaper” reporter, this year, Our country Finance Department is unprecedented to the real estate market delivery’s credit quota, estimated that will amount to 10,000,000,000,000 Yuan, the initiation real estate market frantic expansion is exactly the same nearly with Dubai.
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Posted August 17th, 2010
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New China net Washington, December 1US Development facility Supply management Association on 1st issued the data demonstrated that in November American manufacturing industry continuously 4th month growth, but the speed-up is lower than anticipated. The supply management association issued at the same day the data demonstrated that in November the American manufacturing industry activity index is 53.6, is lower than October 55.7. The active index is equal to or is higher than 50 indicates the manufacturing industry to expand, is lower than 50 indicates the manufacturing industry contraction. The economist believed that at present the American economy presents the non-employment to recover the situation.
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Posted August 17th, 2010
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The American Department of commercial affairs on 1st issued the data demonstrated that in October the US construction spending small scale grows 0.04%. Before this, the department of commercial affairs reported that in the third quarter the American economical increased range after revises for the first time is 2.8%. But in October the American unemployment rate already set the record of 10.2% 26 years new high.
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Posted August 17th, 2010
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Hx_hidden_tag { display:none; } On November 25, the Dubai Government applies for the suspension government Holding company Dubai world group the partial foreign loan repayment, until May 30, 2010. Moody and the sign Pu two big rating organizations warned that the Dubai world will postpone the debt redemption the behavior will possibly regard as the violation. The event initiates the global stock market to be turbulent, and has the market public figure to worry that from this causes the new round global crisis.
(and news finance and economics original) On December 7 9:30 am, invite Beijing University National development Research institute Professor Huang Yiping, central wealth big banking industry Research center Director Guo Tian with the news network to be brave and national Development and Planning Commission foreign economics institute international synthesis research director the king seamount deliberated together the Dubai sovereignty debt crisis event, the following is the partial interview content: entered topic my two(and news finance and economics original) Guo Degang the right and wrong mutual hatred history is very much big the bottom (group chart) The medical department pays attention to the baby early puberty The asset management company collaborates the place to make PE The petroleum 600,000,000,000 projects seek the privately operated partner Beijing sum total subsidy Public hospital loss The Federal Reserve discusses the rest difficult word withdrawal on Tuesday Associates over 1,000,000,000 buys stock the divine land to rent a car micro abundant the minority rich person grain bin room does not have the influence to the poor person Wang Haifeng: Third, I agreed Mr./Mrs. Guo said Japanese pattern.
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Posted August 16th, 2010
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Newspaper news 20 country group Treasury Secretary and Central Bank president the conference on 5th concludes in London. The conference agreed that continues to adopt the measure stimulation economy to guarantee the global economic the lasting recovery and the growth, and withdraw from the large-scale economic stimulus plan when the time is ripe. 20 country group Treasury Secretary and Central Bank president publish after the meeting in a bulletin indicated that since the beginning of April’s London finance summit, the world economics and the money market situation already was improved, but still should maintain the cautious attitude to the economic growth prospect and the employment prospect, especially must the adverse effect which brings for the low income country maintain to the crisis pays attention highly. Therefore the conference agreed that continues to adopt the measure stimulation economy to guarantee the global economic the continually recovery and grows.
Guo Degang the right and wrong mutual hatred history is very much big the bottom (group chart) The medical department pays attention to the baby early puberty The asset management company collaborates the place to make PE The petroleum 600,000,000,000 projects seek the privately operated partner Beijing sum total subsidy Public hospital loss The grain price soars partial or the present grain rushes to purchase Associates over 1,000,000,000 buys stock the divine land to rent a car micro abundant the minority rich person grain bin room does not have the influence to the poor person Meanwhile, the conference agreed that obtains in the economic resurgence determined solid later will withdraw from the large-scale economic stimulus plan by transparent and the reliable advancement. It is stated in the bulletin that 20 country groups and so on joint effort with the International Monetary Fund and the financial stability committee, the formulation will cooperate the withdrawal economic stimulus strategy which and will be coordinated. At the same time, also acknowledged that various countries in the withdrawal economic stimulus plan’s policy, the scale, the time and the order may have the difference.
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Posted August 16th, 2010
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Country groups thought strengthened the international financial institution the function aspect recently already to make the significant development, but also expressed that also had many job requirements to complete. The bulletin also acknowledged that takes a part which the International Monetary Fund reforms, emerging and in the development the economy, must strengthen greatly including the least developed countries’s sound and the representation reflected changes world economics pattern. Chinese Ministry of Finance Minister Xie Xuren and People’s Bank of China President Zhou Xiaochuan indicated at the meeting the same day that China will continue to adopt the measure consolidated economy to stand firmly the rise situation.
Xie Xuren said that the Chinese government adopts the promotion economic growth’s plan wholesale has made the tangible progress, the economy stands firmly the rise, but the foundation was still unstable. Next step will continue to implement the positive financial policy and the moderate loose monetary policy, the consolidated economy stands firmly the rise situation, the promotion economy steadily develops quickly. Zhou Xiaochuan said at the meeting that various countries should continue maintain clasp, the promotion economic resurgence and the financial system operate stably. It is known that 20 country group summit how, to regard the money market and strengthen in the financial supervision question to achieve certain mutual recognition, but also has the difference.
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Posted August 16th, 2010
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The conference thought that the financial supervision serious flaw causes financial crisis’s substantial clause, but the financial crisis has subsequently caused the economic crisis. However, although 20 country group London summit emphasized the financial supervision question, but in fact is empty solid few, lacks the specific measures. The people hope that holds in this month last ten days of the month at 20 country group Pittsburgh summit can have some new breakthroughs in this aspect.
If Brother Leiman the company applied for the chapter 11 bankruptcy protection initiation significant crisis from last September middle ten days to calculate, the global financial crisis erupts had one year. But the many main Western economy’s economical winter already surpassed for one year. Not yet passes at the crisis, the recovery still to face many elements of certainty the presents, 20 country group Treasury Secretary and Central Bank president took the pulse once more for the world economics, will step onto road of the lasting stable recovery to the world economics to play the positive role.
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Posted August 15th, 2010
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6%,2012 years to drop to 2.8%,2013 years to drop to 2%, but whether did the market still effectively achieve this goal to the Greek Government to be sceptical. If the debt crisis further worsens, the investor panic mood intensifies, the European and American Committee and the European Central Bank possibly can not but get rid to rescue, but the author thought Eurozone, even if gets rid, also measures between the cost and the income, chooses an appropriate balance point, both must be advantageous in eliminates Greece’s financial deficit, will maintain Eurozone’s stability, and must guard against the moral hazard which possibly will appear, will urge the member nation to observe the financial restraint strictly from now on.(author is Fudan University international Associate Professor Jin Rongxi).
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